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All the Latest
U.S. NATIONAL ELECTION 2020 RESULTS
(Updated: FINAL)
PRESIDENT
ER Predictive Model - Chance To Win
Winner: BIDEN
+0% D/R Shift From Final Projection
Actual National Popular Vote Count
BIDEN: 51%| TRUMP: 47%
81,268,867 Votes | 74,216,747 Votes
Electoral Votes Needed To Win
BIDEN: 0|TRUMP: 38
Election Recon Projected 48/50 States Correctly
Incorrect Projections: (2) - AZ, GA
SENATE
ER Predictive Model - Chance To Win
Winner: DEMOCRATS
+0% R/D Shift From Final Projection
Seats Needed For Win/Majority
DEMOCRATS: 0 +VP
REPUBLICANS: 1
Seats Flipped To Other Party
DEMOCRATS: +4
(Seats Won: Colorado, Arizona, Georgia 1, Georgia 2)
REPUBLICANS: +1
(Seats Won: Alabama)
Election Recon Projected 34/35 Seats Correctly
Incorrect Projections: (1) - ME
*Note: Our model correctly projected the two GA seats on election night as the GOP having the top vote, but heading for a runoff. Our model also correctly projected both DEM victories in the following runoffs.
HOUSE
ER Predictive Model - Chance To Win
Winner: DEMOCRATS
+1.3% R Shift From Final Projection
Seats Needed For Win/Majority
DEMOCRATS: 0
REPUBLICANS: 6
Seats Flipped To Other Party
DEMOCRATS: +3
(Seats Won: GA7, NC2, NC6 )
REPUBLICANS: +15
(Seats Won: CA21, CA39, CA48, FL26, FL27, IA1, IA2, MI3, MN7, NM2, NY11, NY22, OK5, SC1, UT4)
Election Recon Projected 423/435 Seats Correctly
*Our model projected 12 more Democrat Seats than the final results.
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